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One such marker is the Y-chromosome sub-haplogroup O2a2b-P164. Moderate to high frequencies of this lineage are found among the indigenous Amis people of Taiwan, as well as in parts of the Philippines, Micronesia, and Western Polynesia. Crucially, diversity within the haplogroup decreases with increasing distance from Southeast Asia, suggesting a gradual expansion outward from this region.

High-resolution sequencing of O2a2b-P164 Y-chromosomes paints an even more detailed picture. The data point to an origin for the lineage around 19,000 years ago, likely in mainland Southeast Asia. Then, approximately 4,700 years ago, the haplogroup split into three distinct branches: one localized to Southeast Asia, one to Taiwan (represented by the Amis), and one that would go on to predominate in what are called Micronesia and Polynesia today.

This timeline aligns with the leading linguistic model for the Austronesian expansion, which proposes a progression from Taiwan to the Philippines and Indonesia beginning around 5,000 years ago, followed by a rapid spread into the previously uninhabited islands of Oceania. The relative homogeneity of O2a2b-P164 lineages in Polynesia and Micronesia suggests this final phase occurred in quick pulses, with founder effects and genetic drift leading to the high frequencies observed in some populations.

In fact, the genetic evidence also supports considerable contact between distant Austronesian communities well after their initial spread. For example, despite their geographic separation, the Amis share close Y-chromosome affinities with Polynesian populations as far out as Aotearoa. Yet, although tracing back Māori language to Reo Tahiti poses little challenge, (re)connecting Tahitian language with Amis language is much more complicated than what the sub-haplogroup O2a2b-P164 reveals. These links may reflect ongoing trade and cultural exchange enabled by the advanced seafaring abilities of the Austronesian peoples and the later European contacts.

Of course, any attempt to reconstruct complex population histories from modern DNA, creation myths and proto-languages must be approached with caution. The current distribution of genetic diversity has been shaped by millennia of migration, admixture, and localized evolution, making it an imperfect record of the past. Additional sampling and analysis of ancient DNA from archaeological contexts will be necessary to confirm and refine the O2a2b-P164 dispersal model.

Combining data from various field sites and ethnic groups, geneticists and linguists are tracing the spectacular Austronesian expansion with increasing confidence, from its initial stages in East Asia to a culmination in the far-flung islands of the Moana a Hiva.

As research continues, it will certainly yield further insights into one of the most extensive and rapid dispersals in human pre-modern times. Further genetic and linguistic research is yet to push the reconstructed time-sensitive frontier westward to the Indian subcontinent and eastward to the Americas. The synthesis of linguistic and genetic evidence is illuminating the origins and dynamics of the great Austronesian family and the adventurous peoples who carried it to the far corners of the world.

The Austronesian language family, one of the largest and most widely dispersed in the world, has long fascinated linguists and geneticists alike. Its speakers, who today number over 380 million, are spread across a vast swath of the globe, from Madagasicara in the west to Rapa Nui in the east. But where did this remarkable expansion begin, and how did it unfold?

"the Amis share close Y-chromosome affinities with Polynesian populations as far out as Aotearoa"

Recent research by Javier Rodriguez Lui et al. combining linguistic and genetic evidence is shedding new light on these questions. By studying the distribution and diversity of key genetic markers, scientists are piecing together a clearer picture of the migratory paths taken by the ancestors of today's Austronesian speakers.

Tracing the Austronesian Expansion Through Language and Genetics